Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 22 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

ValleyUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 02:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 12 recorded within 20 km of this point since 14 May 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 3 at 5:40PM MDT until July 3 at 8:45PM MDT by NWS Glasgow MT

Nearby, since 14 May 2026

How we know

10 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)22 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.69/1
Coordinates47.8891, -106.7055
Nearest CityWilliston (231 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-07-03T23:40:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2fb402cdb82be90730efb04846882f06

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-03T23:40:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-04T01:26:04.515Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescValley, MT; Garfield, MT
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 3 at 5:40PM MDT until July 3 at 8:45PM MDT by NWS Glasgow MT
Expires2026-07-03T20:45:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Glasgow MT
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount5
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2fb402cdb82be90730efb04846882f06dbfa9201.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ee79f51928f9012afe5894e909960032d9159fa0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1a02685220b442152e023002c070a8027bdae2ed.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.09fae7f12cc7f691867b8aeee9055620f380cfb8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.90c59a65d4a8135ac820666384922dcd37b69e87.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryF
Iem CityGlasgow
Iem CountyValley
Iem StateMT
Iem WfoGGW
Iem Remarkprolific ground hail, pea size. water running into home. Morgan Ellis.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_F_48.210_-106.640_1783119060000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783119060000,"latitude":48.21,"longitude":-106.64},{"id":"iem_F_48.200_-106.640_1783118160000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783118160000,"latitude":48.2,"longitude":-106.64},{"id":"iem_G_48.210_-106.630_1783117020000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783117020000,"latitude":48.21,"longitude":-106.63},{"id":"iem_F_48.200_-106.640_1783121580000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783121580000,"latitude":48.2,"longitude":-106.64},{"id":"iem_F_48.190_-106.650_1783119120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783119120000,"latitude":48.19,"longitude":-106.65},{"id":"iem_R_48.210_-106.640_1783124040000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783124040000,"latitude":48.21,"longitude":-106.64},{"id":"iem_R_48.210_-106.630_1783124100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783124100000,"latitude":48.21,"longitude":-106.63},{"id":"iem_F_48.190_-106.640_1783117500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783117500000,"latitude":48.19,"longitude":-106.64},{"id":"iem_F_48.190_-106.640_1783118400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783118400000,"latitude":48.19,"longitude":-106.64}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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